How well do the CMIP6 models simulate dust aerosols?

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract. Mineral dust impacts key processes in the Earth system, including radiation budget, clouds, and nutrient cycles. We evaluate aerosols 16 models participating sixth phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) against multiple reanalyses observations. note that both observations used here have their limitations particularly emission deposition are poorly constrained. Most models, multi-model ensemble mean (MEM), capture spatial patterns seasonal cycles global well. However, large uncertainties inter-model diversity found. For example, emissions, primarily driven by model-simulated surface winds, vary a factor 5 across while MEM estimate is double amount reanalyses. The ranges CMIP6 emission, deposition, burden, optical depth (DOD) larger than previous generations models. Models present considerable disagreement over North China America. Here, DOD values overestimated most with 1.2–1.7 times compared to satellite reanalysis datasets. Such overestimates can reach up individual also fail reproduce some features regional distribution, such as accumulation along southern edge Himalayas. Overall, there still models' simulated processes, which feature inconsistent biases throughout life cycle between relationship connecting mass DOD. Our results imply modelled becoming more uncertain become sophisticated. More detailed output size-resolved variables particular, relating future intercomparison projects, needed enable better constraints potential identification observationally constrained links properties.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1680-7316', '1680-7324']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2095-2022